2022 Election Predictions
Ran the numbers for the biannual pool… There is plenty of noise in the model, and many of the races came down to weather forecasts in key areas. (E.g., crummy … Read More
Category: Politics
The Trump Legacy
The Trump Presidency was an unmitigated disaster for the United States of America’s republic. By far, Trump’s Presidential Administration presented the most drastic failures of the United States government. Trump … Read More
2020 Update
Trigger Warning This is a political post about a highly controversial election. You may find some of these findings to be offensive, disagree with your beliefs, or downright scary. These … Read More
2020 Election Projections
Trigger Warning Hey! This is a political post, about a highly controversial election. You may find some of these findings to be offensive, disagree with your beliefs, or downright scary. … Read More
2018 Election Prediction Results
My first major miss, the 2018 election cycle saw continued strength among Senate projections and diminishing success with the House of Representatives. Senate accuracy: 92.1% accuracy on average (128/139) 2018: … Read More
2018 Election Projections
Ran the numbers for the biannual pool… There is plenty of noise in the model; for example, there could be a twenty seat swing towards the Democratic party in the … Read More
Crisis of Competence
As we mark the one year anniversary of Trump’s inauguration, the United States in the midst of a Crisis of Competence. Congress is unable to pass budgets (or budget extensions) needed … Read More
The Obama Legacy
As we prepare for the nation’s greatest tradition (the peaceful transition of power), it is time to take stock of where we are, where we have been, and where are we … Read More
2016 Election Prediction Results
In January, I made a series of predictions about the 2016 election. Some where practically spot on, while others were a little bit off. Here is a quick report card. Seat by … Read More
Election 2016 Predictions
It is time for the 2016 Election Day predictions… Feel free to play along with the 2016 Pick ’em. These selections are based on a model in progress that places a … Read More