2020 Update
Trigger Warning This is a political post about a highly controversial election. You may find some of these findings to be offensive, disagree with your beliefs, or downright scary. These … Read More
home to some good ideas in progress
Trigger Warning This is a political post about a highly controversial election. You may find some of these findings to be offensive, disagree with your beliefs, or downright scary. These … Read More
Trigger Warning Hey! This is a political post, about a highly controversial election. You may find some of these findings to be offensive, disagree with your beliefs, or downright scary. … Read More
My first major miss, the 2018 election cycle saw continued strength among Senate projections and diminishing success with the House of Representatives. Senate accuracy: 92.1% accuracy on average (128/139) 2018: … Read More
Ran the numbers for the biannual pool… There is plenty of noise in the model; for example, there could be a twenty seat swing towards the Democratic party in the … Read More
In January, I made a series of predictions about the 2016 election. Some where practically spot on, while others were a little bit off. Here is a quick report card. Seat by … Read More
It is time for the 2016 Election Day predictions… Feel free to play along with the 2016 Pick ’em. These selections are based on a model in progress that places a … Read More
In the months leading up to the 2014 midterm election, I made a series of predictions. Some where practically spot on, others were wildly erratic. Here is a quick report … Read More
It is time for the 2014 Election Day predictions… Feel free to play along with the 2014 Pick ’em. Each of the 36 senate races are worth a point; the … Read More
Eleven months out from election day, here are a few predictions about the 2014 political cycle. Forecasts have become a bit of a tradition. Although I am no presidential … Read More