Tuesday, 27 October, 2020

2018 Election Projections


Ran the numbers for the biannual pool…  There is plenty of noise in the model; for example, there could be a twenty seat swing towards the Democratic party in the House.

**US SENATE**
52 Republicans +1 (+1 from Democrats)
46 Democrats -1 (-1 to Republicans)
02 Independents UC

AZ – McSally
CA – Feinstein
CT – Murphy
DE – Carper
FL – Nelson
HI – Hirono
IN – Donnelly
MA – Warren
MD – Cardin
ME – King
MI – Stabenow
MN – Smith
MN – Klobuchar
MO – Hawley *Formerly Democratic*
MS – Hyde-Smith
MS – Wicker
MT – Tester
ND – Cramer *Formerly Democratic*
NE – Fischer
NJ – Menendez
NM – Heinrich
NV – Rosen *Formerly Republican*
NY – Gillibrand
OH – Brown
PA – Casey
RI – Whitehouse
TN – Blackburn
TX – Cruz
UT – Romney
VA – Kaine
VT – Sanders
WA – Cantwell
WI – Baldwin
WV – Manchin
WY – Barrasso

**US HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES**
219 Republicans – 216 Democrats

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