I enjoy math, especially math that can assess the risk or likelihood of events happening. Here are some of my publicly available notes on forecasts, past and present.


Formally trained as a mixed-methods researcher and armed with two decades of experience, political projections are often far more accurate than the traditional media.


I’m one of those wacky “don’t run lean” folks. I believe that businesses sell better on value than on volume. In a perfect world you can build the competitive advantage … Read More


Public service is near and dear to my heart. These posts are reflections on experiences that I have had serving various organizations and boards.


Good judgement comes from wisdom. Wisdom comes from bad judgement. Here is a clearing house from experiences, both with and without wisdom.


Here are some research notes for projects during my time in academic circles. Most of these ideas are very raw, although some are publication announcements.